Opening Bell: Global Stocks Follow Wall St., Notching Records; Dollar, Oil Slip

  • US markets buoyed as President Biden takes over
  • Netflix hits new record high on strong earnings

Key Events

Futures on the , and headed slightly higher in trading on Thursday after a Biden inaugural bounce saw US markets post a second day of records. However, contracts on the were lower, continuing the trend of a reversal in the cyclical rotation. Global stocks also advanced on the recurring narrative that additional fiscal stimulus will reignite the US economy, allowing companies to profit.

However, the dollar continued to fall and Bitcoin also slipped for the second day.

Global Financial Affairs

In Europe, sectors sensitive to the economic cycle, such as banks and carmakers, led gains in the Index.

Most of Asia climbed, with China’s the notable exception, retreating 0.1% on profit-taking after the index temporarily topped 30,000 points for the first time since May 2019. South Korea’s , outperformed closing up 1.5% on strong export data. 

On Wednesday, US stocks jumped to all-time highs on newfound optimism as President Joseph Biden took office. The markets are hoping that a Democratic president as well as a Democratic controlled Congress will facilitate Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion spending plan to combat the coronavirus and kick-start the economy.

The surged over 2% and the Index enjoyed the best gains in reaction to a new president since Jan. 20 became the official swearing-in date in 1937, according to Bloomberg. 

S&P Daily

The S&P 500 completed a falling flag, bullish after the preceding 4.5% surge in just four sessions. Our price target is 3,964.

Netflix (NASDAQ:) leaped almost 17% to $586.34, a new record high.

Netflix Daily

The stock cleared the rut in which the price was stuck since July 13, accompanied by the highest volume since October 2019.

Yields, including on the Treasury note, rose slightly but within a falling flag—bullish after the preceding leap.

10-year Treasuries Daily

The move suggests yields are going to provide an upside breakout to the rising channel to begin a steeper ascend.

The fell for the fourth day, bolstering the argument that massive stimulus will weaken the greenback due to oversupply, overshadowing the sentiment that higher yields will provide a bigger payout to USD holders.

Dollar Index Daily

The dollar appears to have completed a rising flag, bearish within the downtrend, and right beneath its downtrend line since the March top.

The fell after the BoJ kept its main policy settings , ending an attempted bullish pennant, but beware the possibility of it resuming along a bullish flag.

Yen Daily

However, the downtrend is against that scenario.

Risk-on kept a lid on , despite dollar weakness.

Gold Daily

Yesterday the precious metal blew out a bearish pennant, rising back above the 200 DMA—with the 50 DMA above the bigger MA, providing the setup for an explosive move. The yellow metal still has to climb back above the top of the falling channel, with the Jan. 8, $1,962.50 high, providing potential resistance.

faltered for a second day, apparently blowing out a bullish pattern.

Bitcoin Daily

The largest cryptocurrency by market cap fell below a bullish pennant, possibly turning it bearish. Momentum and price-based indicators were also bearish.

slumped for the second day, as the outlook of weakened demand offset a lower dollar. The Biden administration has to shake up US energy policy which may have long significant impact on the price. 

Oil Daily

Oil Daily

Technically, the price fell from the resistance of Wednesday’s shooting star, which confirmed last Thursday’s Bearish Engulfing pattern.

Up Ahead

  • Earnings are due from  (NYSE:) after the market closes today.
  • On Friday (NYSE:) announces its Q3 results.
  • will be released on Friday.

Market Moves

Stocks

  • Futures on the S&P 500 Index climbed 0.2%.
  • The Stoxx Europe 600 Index increased 0.7%.
  • The Index rose 0.8%.
  • The Index gained 0.7%.

Currencies

  • The Dollar Index fell 0.25% to 90.20.
  • The rose 0.2% to $1.2126.
  • The rose 0.3% to $1.37.
  • The was little changed at 6.463 per dollar.
  • The Japanese yen was unchanged at 103.54 per dollar.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries dipped less than one basis point to 1.08%.
  • The yield on Treasuries increased less than one basis point to 0.13%.
  • Germany’s yield declined one basis point to -0.54%.
  • Britain’s yield declined one basis point to 0.293%.
  • Japan’s yield declined one basis point to 0.043%.

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.6% to $53.01 a barrel.
  • futures dipped 0.5% to $55.78 a barrel.
  • Gold weakened 0.1% to $1,870.62 an ounce.
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